The findings come as recent data indicates the number of coronavirus cases is climbing once again—and the United States could be on the verge of a fourth surge in coronavirus cases. Experts have said the recent uptick in coronavirus cases likely stems from two key factors: states easing coronavirus-related restrictions, and the spread of more transmissible coronavirus variants. The Times ' data showed that, as of Thursday morning, the rates of newly reported coronavirus cases were "staying high" in Washington, D.
C and 27 states that have reported a daily average of at least 15 newly reported cases per , people over the past week. In addition, the rate of newly reported coronavirus cases was "going up" as of Thursday morning in Hawaii, Indiana, Oregon, Puerto Rico, U. Virgin Islands, and Washington, which have had comparatively lower case rates, the Times reports. Even as cases are increasing, data shows new hospitalizations and deaths are continuing to decline. Join Ford Koles and Christopher Kerns for a weekly update on the biggest challenges facing health care leaders.
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Don't forget these 3 key lessons. COVID was listed as the underlying cause of , deaths during and was the third leading underlying cause of death, after heart disease , deaths and cancer , Figure 2. During January—December , the estimated age-adjusted death rate increased for the first time since , with an increase of COVID was the underlying or a contributing cause of , deaths COVID was the third leading underlying cause of death in , replacing suicide as one of the top 10 leading causes of death 6.
The findings in this report are subject to at least four limitations. First, data are provisional, and numbers and rates might change as additional information is received. Second, timeliness of death certificate submission can vary by jurisdiction. As a result, the national distribution of deaths might be affected by the distribution of deaths from jurisdictions reporting later, which might differ from those in the United States overall.
Third, certain categories of race i. Finally, the cause of death for certain persons might have been misclassified. This report provides an overview of provisional U. Provisional death estimates can give researchers and policymakers an early indication of shifts in mortality trends and provide actionable information sooner than the final mortality data that are released approximately 11 months after the end of the data year.
All authors have completed and submitted the International Committee of Medical Journal Editors form for disclosure of potential conflicts of interest. No potential conflicts of interest were disclosed.
Data from December are less complete due to reporting lags. These data exclude deaths that occurred in the United States among residents of U. Provisional Mortality Data — United States, Department of Health and Human Services. Use of trade names and commercial sources is for identification only and does not imply endorsement by the U. CDC is not responsible for the content of pages found at these sites.
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Summary What is already known about this topic? Substantial increases from to also occurred for several other leading causes. Heart disease deaths increased by 4. Increases in deaths also occurred for unintentional injury Influenza and pneumonia deaths in increased by 7. From to , deaths due to chronic lower respiratory disease declined by 3.
Trends in mortality for leading causes of death are important indicators of shifting patterns in mortality. During the COVID pandemic, changes in leading causes provide insight into the direct and indirect effects of the pandemic on mortality burden.
However, increases were also noted for several other leading causes of death. These increases may indicate, to some extent, underreporting of COVID, ie, limited testing in the beginning of the pandemic may have resulted in underestimation of COVID mortality. Increases in unintentional injury deaths in were largely driven by drug overdose deaths. Final mortality data will help determine the effect of the pandemic on concurrent trends in drug overdose deaths. Provisional, national mortality data show that the COVID pandemic substantially affected mortality in Early estimates of life expectancy at birth, based on provisional data for January to June , show historic declines not seen since World War II However, the effects of COVID on mortality trends may be mitigated in given better detection and treatment options as well as increasing natural and vaccine-related immunity.
Published Online: March 31, Conflict of Interest Disclosures: None reported. Disclaimer: The findings and conclusions in this report are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the official position of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
Additional Contributions: We are grateful for the efforts of vital statistics jurisdictions in their continued collaboration with the National Center for Health Statistics and provision of data during the COVID pandemic. We thank the staff of the Division of Vital Statistics for coding and reviewing data, providing continuous database maintenance, and producing timely analysis. Conflicts of interest comprise financial interests, activities, and relationships within the past 3 years including but not limited to employment, affiliation, grants or funding, consultancies, honoraria or payment, speaker's bureaus, stock ownership or options, expert testimony, royalties, donation of medical equipment, or patents planned, pending, or issued.
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